Seasonal forecasts

Precipitation forecasts up to 5 months ahead

Seasonal weather forecasts can assist in long-term planning and strategic decision making. Such forecasts on seasonal time scales can provide an indication of the upcoming months that are either dryer or wetter than normal. We use the information from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (CCS). The output of the various CCS models is combined and compared with the 24 year model climatology and 39 years of satellite precipitation data to increase forecast skill. Our data analysis results in categorial monthly rainfall indicators, for example ‘increased rainfall’ or ‘normal rainfall’.

Our seasonal forecasts provide the monthly indicators up to 5 months ahead. These indicators can be converted into concrete advices and risk information which is essential for agribusiness, the financial sector and energy sector.

A few examples;

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An example of the seasonal forecast outlook over Africa for the next 3 months (the initials at the end represent the months) is shown below.